Wednesday, April 28, 2010

The Advisor Weblog

The Advisor Weblog


Euro slumps on more downgrades

Posted: 28 Apr 2010 08:36 AM PDT

Eur/Usd fell to a fresh year low as S&P downgraded Spain to AA, with a negative outlook, reaching the 1.3130 support zone. Angela Merkel comments past with no news as we hear more of the same; risk of further Euro falls are here, udner the low, watch for 1.3075 as next downside target for the pair.


Best pair to trade now II: EUR/USD

Posted: 28 Apr 2010 07:52 AM PDT

Hourly perspective for US session

Posted: 28 Apr 2010 06:33 AM PDT

Beware of Euro

Posted: 28 Apr 2010 05:29 AM PDT

Pair has triggered some stops above daily high, and reached the 1.3240 level in a blink, thus I don’t still feel too much confident on a continuation: rumors and more rumors hit the wires: that Angela Merkel will announce an extension of the loans to 90 Billions, that the ECB will directly be forced to buy Greece debt, any of both will be good for the hegemonic currency, at least for me. Market is quite nervous, perfect moment to go for a cup of coffee. ;)


EUR/USD technical perspective

Posted: 28 Apr 2010 04:31 AM PDT

Taking a look at the hourly chart, pair seems to have formed a double bottom around 1.3140, with the daily high of 1.3217 as neck line of the formation; is a small figure, nothing that could made of this 1.3140 an important support area, yet for intraday trading, could be a bit more meaningful: indicators had a slightly bullish perspective, while current candle is above 20 SMA that lost part of it’s bearish slope; above mentioned level, pair could extend the correction to next resistance area, around 1.3250, 38.2% retracement of past daily fall. Above it, next resistance lies at the 1.3290 zone; supports now, come at 1.3180 and 1.3140 lows, while I see a stronger one very close around 1.3120: if we lose this one, next in line is 1.3075.


Best pair to trade now EUR/JPY

Posted: 28 Apr 2010 04:23 AM PDT

Major’s sentiment for today

Posted: 28 Apr 2010 03:39 AM PDT

Majors’ sentiment for today:

Eur/Usd: Bearish

Gbp/Usd: Bearish

Usd/Chf: Bullish

Usd/Jpy:Bullish

Eur/Gbp: Bullish

Eur/Jpy: Slightly Bullish

Gbp/Jpy: Slightly Bullish


Starting the day

Posted: 28 Apr 2010 03:34 AM PDT

Hi everyone, and welcome to this blog. It took S&P to downgrade sovereign credit qualifications for both Portugal and Greece, to made Euro succumb past American session, to levels not seen since April 2009 at 1.3144. Recovery attempts had remained capped by 1.3220 for now. I do see that most of this madness could be blamed on ECB, that don’t want to restructure Greece debt: yesterday, it was paying 20%, really outrageous. We have a speech from Angela Merkel around 14:45 GMT rumors say, she will announce an increase in Greek aid package, but let’s see! Pound slump has no real reason but the need of investors to run back to safety; we read now concerns about hung in Parliament, thus really nothing new right? Anyway! let’s start with a  bit more technical! Here is the link for today’s calendar:

http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/economic-calendar/

Have a great day! 


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