Monday, June 21, 2010

The Advisor Weblog

The Advisor Weblog


Hourly perspective for US session

Posted: 21 Jun 2010 06:37 AM PDT

Best pair to trade now: EUR/USD

Posted: 21 Jun 2010 05:07 AM PDT

Major’s sentiment for today

Posted: 21 Jun 2010 05:05 AM PDT

Majors’ sentiment for today:

Eur/Usd:  Bullish

Gbp/Usd: Bullish

Usd/Chf: Bearish

Usd/Jpy: Slightly Bullish

Eur/Gbp: Bearish

Eur/Jpy: Slightly Bullish

Gbp/Jpy: Slightly Bullish


Starting the day

Posted: 21 Jun 2010 05:03 AM PDT

Hi everyone, and welcome back! bit late today, I had stayed part of the Asian session following markets, and particularly, focusing in commodity currencies. With China comments on yuan-peg-dollar reform, market get read of greenbacks pretty fast in past Sunday opening, as we are pricing in way ahead the movements for long time now. European majors managed to erase part of those gains against dollar, and are back close to past Friday’s close, still positive in general.

But commodity currencies are holding stronger gains as they are usually more affected by yuan than European ones: a free yuan, would mean a decrease in China exports, yet at the same time a weaker dollar. Besides, no one expects, the movement to be done in 1 day: we should expect a very gradual activity, that dulls effects on exports, as it has been done before. Could also at some point be consider dollar positive, as this will soften current commercial conflicts between both nations. However, with an already weak dollar, chances are of further falls right now.

Yen crosses are quite positive, with yen losing ground across the board, still in past weeks range; honestly I was expecting more downside pressure there: still EUR/JPY has been capped by 113.30 resistance zone while USD7JPY under 91.40. Daily close above those levels could support further rises in both.

Anyway! let’s start with some technicals, we have no much from the fundamental side today, but a speech from Mr ECB president, Jean Claude Trichet.

Have a great trading day!


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