Wednesday, August 11, 2010

The Advisor Weblog

The Advisor Weblog


Hourly perspective for US session

Posted: 11 Aug 2010 06:35 AM PDT

US Trade Balance

Posted: 11 Aug 2010 05:34 AM PDT

US Trade Balance come out worse than expected, and worse than previous month reading at -49.9B. Not much of a reaction yet across the board, just USD/JPY pushing lower. Data is disappointing, and with current risk aversion enviroment, we could see furhter falls in the cross. Euro and Pound are recovering ground, seems not all is lost for European currencies.


Best pair to trade now: GBP/USD

Posted: 11 Aug 2010 04:59 AM PDT

Majors’ sentiment for today

Posted: 11 Aug 2010 04:58 AM PDT

Here is the majors’ sentiment for today:Eur/Usd: Bearish

Gbp/Usd: Bearish

Usd/Chf: Neutral

Usd/Jpy: Bearish

Eur/Gbp: Bearish

Eur/Jpy:  Bearish

Gbp/Jpy: Bearish


Fire! Fire! ups, risk aversion again

Posted: 11 Aug 2010 04:54 AM PDT

Hi everyone, and welcome back! No doubts, Bernanke knows how to do things. With some extra QE measures to save the US of a double dip, market entered in risk aversion mode: as we comment past Asian  webinar, European opening was the key: stocks are down, dollar and yen up, with yen crosses running lower: USD/JPY has set a fresh 15 years low, and remains capped under 85.00. That means usually that further fall will be seen in the pair. No explosions at 84.80: no intervention from BOJ no big buying orders triggered. Watch for further downside there.

Pound is recovering some ground after testing the 38.2% retracement we followed all over yesterday. Will post a more specific analysis for it.

Our poor friend Euro, lost the trend line, and the 1.3125 support, and seems for good. We are hovering around 1.3000; rally is a bit overextended, so we need some consolidation/corrections before a new leg down.

And the day is still young! we have US Trade Balance in a few minutes, another lite reports, and employment monthly data in Australia later today. Here is today's calendar:

http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/economic-calendar/

Have a great day!


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