Monday, September 27, 2010

The Advisor Weblog

The Advisor Weblog


Hourly perspective for US session

Posted: 27 Sep 2010 06:33 AM PDT

Best pair to trade now: EUR/USD

Posted: 27 Sep 2010 05:29 AM PDT

Majors’ sentiment for today

Posted: 27 Sep 2010 05:05 AM PDT

Here is the majors’ sentiment for today:

Eur/Usd: Slightly Bullish

Gbp/Usd: Bullish

Usd/Chf: Slightly Bearish

Usd/Jpy: Bearish

Eur/Gbp: Bearish

Eur/Jpy: Bullish

Gbp/Jpy: Bullish


Starting the day

Posted: 27 Sep 2010 05:00 AM PDT

Hi everyone, and welcome back! Week started in slow motion with majors close to past Friday’s closing levels, and after some short lived corrective movements, crosses are back posting gains against dollar. Greenback weakness remains to be the main subject in market. Past Friday’s New Home Sales reading at record lows, indeed feed fears of QE in the US for the upcoming months. However, general election in the US on November 2nd, will likely weight on such decision: I won’t be expecting for QE this October, neither on November. And that should harm current dollar bearish euphoria; there are a couple of things, to take into account also: first one, Central Banks; we know BOJ is against yen strength, while SNB failed to weaken CHF after several attempts since March past year; with aussie nearing its all time high, I would expect RBA to also start worrying. That will made 3 central banks, wanting some dollar strength. Could they plan some coordinate action? Seems likely, not this week, but keep that in mind before happily sell greenbacks.  The other thing, are the COT reports: market is extremely long in Euro, and that suggest we are close to a top and reversal, while the sovereign debt woes in the euro zone are far from solved; that will made 4 out 6 most traded majors, favoring some dollar strength.

Anyway, non of those will happen today, just something to consider ;) .

Short term talking, dollar remains under pressure, thus lack of volume today is keeping majors in range. We have no fundamental news today, so there are little chances to see  strong breaks of these ranges, unless some non schedule fundamental movement hit the wires; will start taking a look at technicals then.

Have a great trading day!


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